Posted by: David Comerford | June 12, 2012

While Spain was being rescued…

… Sevi was wearing a tie on the BBC!

Posted by: David Comerford | March 23, 2012

Agglomeration in action

Good news for Edinburgh and the renewables industry in Scotland with the announcement of a wind turbine manufacturing plant in Leith. This comes shortly after other relevant announcements: offshore servicing in Nigg in Easter Ross, green finance with the Green Investment Bank in Edinburgh; and follows on from news of other renewables manufacturing plants in Dundee and Methil, and renewables R&D facilities in Glasgow and Edinburgh.

As well as being fantastic news for jobs in Scotland, it is an example of economic theory in action – the theory in question being the new economic geography developed by Paul Krugman which predicts and explains clusters of related activity.

Posted by: David Comerford | March 4, 2012

Microfoundations in macroeconomics

There’s been a few good posts on microfoundations in macro over the past couple of days:

Microfounded and other useful models

“Microfounded and other useful models”

The microfoundation thing

Modern macroeconomic methodology

Why bother with microfoundations

Economic models and economic predictions

Microfoundations and the speed of model development

Why Macro is hard (Taylor/Krugman edition)

Economics in the Crisis

The microeconomic foundations of macroeconomics

Microfoundations, micro payoffs (wonkish)

Microfoundations and central banks

as well as:

New old Keynesians and the paper I linked to before Are macroeconomic methods politically biased


Noah Smith summarises:

“More Microfoundations Madness!
1a) Simon Wren-Lewis has more thoughts on microfoundations and when they have proven useful in the past.
1b) Angus of Kids Prefer Cheese says that current models basically give you the choice between using crappy microfoundations (RBC) or incomplete microfoundations (New Keynesian models). Peter Dorman  I pretty much agree with all of these posts.
1c) Peter Dorman points out that even if you have good microfoundations, aggregation poses a daunting problem for macro models. Richard Serlin makes similar points.
1d) Peter Dorman and Andrew Gelman are even more critical of existing micro models than I am.”

& concludes: Did the Krugman insurgency fail?

Posted by: David Comerford | March 1, 2012

Climate Change Economics

My report of an good discussion last night on the subject of climate change economics. Perhaps especially of interest to those taking ENRE?

Posted by: David Comerford | March 1, 2012

End February Links

Money as store of wealth
Defending Independent Invention
Competitiveness is about capital much more than labor
Incentives Doublethink

Posted by: David Comerford | February 21, 2012

Are macroeconomic methods politically biased?

A fantastic post from Noah Smith.

Posted by: Sean | February 13, 2012

UN Population Statistics

Here‘s (graphical) UN data and projections on the human population from 1950-2100, continent by continent, in less than 10 slides.

Posted by: Sean | February 12, 2012

The Development of Utility Theory

By George Stigler: Part I, and Part II.

(Hat tip: Sebastian)

Posted by: David Comerford | February 9, 2012

The Economics of Independence

I’m not directly answering Sean’s challenge in scotlands bid for independence explained that “Nationalists are invited to comment or counter-post” in that I am not dealing with the post that Sean linked to. I am however trying to justify my assertion in the comments that the economic impact will be small.

See http://dcomerf.blogspot.com/2012/02/economics-of-independence.html

Posted by: Sean | February 7, 2012

Top Ten Traded Goods

The CIA World Factbook reports that Gross World Product was about $79 trillion in 2011, and that international trade comprised about $18 trillion (23%) of that. There’s obviously a lot packed into that $18 trillion, but the top ten internationally traded goods are:

  1. Electrical machinery (including computers) 14.8%
  2. Mineral fuels (including oil, coal and gas) 14.4%
  3. Nuclear reactors, boilers and parts 14.2%
  4. Cars, trucks and buses 8.9%
  5. Scientific and precision instruments 3.5%
  6. Plastics 3.4%
  7. Iron and steel 2.7%
  8. Organic chemicals 2.6%
  9. Pharmaceutical products 2.6%
  10. Precious stones 1.9%

Is anyone else puzzed by item #3? The implication is that $2.6 trillion of nuclear reactors are being traded, which is about 3.2% of world output–somewhat larger than the total GDP of the UK. Yet this report from the US Department of Commerce suggests that the current global civil nuclear industry is less than $500 billion. This seems to imply one of the following: (a) most nuclear trade is military (but who sells nuclear weapons?), (b) nuclear parts and reactors are frequently re-exported (but can they be re-exported 5 times on average?), or (c) the facts are wrong.

I am confused.

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